Belatedly, a few words on the recent Romania elections, which saw Nicușor Dan handily defeat George Simion (the stand in for the disbarred Georgescu with his many powerful ideas about organic farming, health, and the Transylvania forests as the world’s spiritual locus) after trailing him in the polls. I think it succinctly summarizes several important points about EHC, about the nature of nationalism, and the prospects for populism broadly.
(1) Romania should be fertile ground for low IQ populism. They seem to be the least well-read country in Europe, and when I visited, what they did read was Jordan Peterson (#1 bestseller) and Suvorov (Rezun), a WW2 conspiracy theorist. However, faced with the sheer contrast between a two-time International Math Olympiad top scorer (150 IQ?) vs. a literal football hooligan (110 IQ?), even Romanians ended up opting for the former.
(2) Electoral patterns all hewed to the standard template we have come to expect in such contests: The people with higher educations voted overwhelmingly for Dan (75%), while 63% of people with just a primary educations voted Simion. Dan won across both sexes, but many more women voted for the conscientious family man over the Tate fan. (When Dan won the Tates announced they would be leaving Romania. Dan effectively remigrating immigrant groomer gangs before even coming into office).
Likewise, 62% of urbanites voted for Dan, whereas 52% of ruralites voted for Simion. The above map makes it even clearer how this was a contest of the cities (and Hungarians) against ruralites. Amusingly, Bronze Age Pervert tells us the one part of Bucharest that Simion won was District 5, which includes Ferentari. BAP is “not sure on the sociology of this.” Wat mean? Well, Ferentari is a shithole of derelict buildings and garbage.
The global diaspora vote is also highly amusing in how closely it followed the EHC/LHC pattern. The less educated Romanian emigrants in Western Europe voted for Simion. The higher IQ Romanians in the rest of the world (including even in Russia, LOL) - so, businesspeople, students, digital nomads, embassy workers, etc. - voted for Dan.
(3) In many Hungarian municipalities Dan was getting 95% (!). The region of Harghita is 86% ethnic Hungarian and voted 91% Dan. This isn’t because Hungarians are progressive! Amusingly, Romanian Hungarians monolithically (90%+) vote for Orban/Fidesz; however, they choose the EHC candidate for the place where they actually live.
This illustrates another important point. Nationalists don't like foreign nationalists ruling over them. Is it hypocritical? Yes, sure. But we can be thankful for it nonetheless. Simion has spent much of his career baiting Hungarian ethnic activists, accusing them of separatism and treason, and opposing their local autonomy, their flags, and their language rights. But then instead of campaigning amongst Romanians, Simion decided to go on an international rightoid tour just before the election, meeting up with Orban and MAGA luminaries like Bannon, Grenell, Bolsonaro, and Posobiec. (Amusingly the meeting with Orban backfired since he soon had to distance himself from Simion due to Hungarian nationalist backlash). In the end, the votes of Romania’s monolithically pro-Orban Hungarian minority proved crucial to stymying a consolidated rightoid axis across south-eastern Europe.
(4) The final point I want to make is that this perhaps as little else represents the waning of Far Right populism. Full disclose, I thought it had peaked in 2022, since the factors previously driving it such as China’s industrialization and its effect on Western blue-collar wages had largely exhausted themselves. However, timing tops is an extremely risky business, in markets as in politics. Still, I find it increasingly likely that Trump’s victory was right-wing populism’s generational all-time high with the launch of $TRUMP shitcoin representing its “blowoff top.”
After a series of victories the past couple of years, the populists are now floundering, with high IQ globalist technocrats such as Carney in Canada, in Australia, and now even in Romania coming to power. There are extensive ongoing protests against corrupt authoritarian rightoid regimes in Serbia, Slovakia, and Turkey. The people are looking at what is happening in the US under Trump - perhaps there is even some subconscious intuition that Trumpist politics would be far more ruinous for countries that are much smaller and/or don’t have its tradition of judicial independence which still keep the worst excesses of MAGA in check - and they are deserting the evil evil rightoids and flocking back to the safe and reliable stewardship of prestigious high IQ EHC spiritually queer globalist technocrats.
Hungarians are not left wing. They’re voting for the left wing EU candidate because they’re a minority in Romania. Likewise Russians in Estonia and Latvia back the leftist candidates and centrist because they don’t like Baltic nationalism.
It’s group evolutionary strategy. Not some principles, otherwise we’d see these principles implemented in Hungary.
Right still seems to be growing in western Europe, see Portugal, UK, Germany.